John Lilburne's journal about fertility rates.
1225 L Sat 5 Jan 2002
I have been thinking about Argentina and Australia. Peter Costello, the Australian Treasurer has an article in The Age today with the headline: Inept policies make Argentina architect of its own doom. He begins:
There have been other articles comparing Australia and Argentina, that things here could have gone like there.
I think a more important statistic than the economics may be the Total Fertility Rate.
These and lots of other population statistics I got from the CIA. So I wonder if we are measuring the right things. It seems that despite all the problems in Argentina, they are reproducing at a greater rate than Australians.
Below the Treasurer's article there is one by Francis Fukuyama, with the headline Fighting the 21st century fascists. He discusses radical Islamist movements, saying:
He discusses economic failures in Islamic countries:
He talks of Saudi Arabia. I look at their fertility rate:
I am sure our greater life expectancy and older population are factors. But it seems to me that for all our education, industrialisation, sound economic management we have a society that is not reproducing.
I think last year more Australian recognised the declining fertility rate as a problem. The Australian newspaper had a series of articles on balancing work and family. Geoffrey Blainey spoke about the issue of population in his Boyer lectures, and I have just read the transcript of the first one. But I think we are still a long way from solutions.
Copyright J.R. Lilburne 5 January 2002.
Links to other sites:
www.cia.gov factbook for a listing of all country's Total Fertility Rate click on "Field Listing" and scroll down.